Al Mesaimeervs
Al Kharaitiyat
COMPLETEDQatar · Second Division · 9/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kharaitiyat · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Mesaimeer 1-1 Al Kharaitiyat
Original prediction
Al Kharaitiyat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 30.0% | 33.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 28.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.3% | 38.0% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Al Kharaitiyat
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Al Kharaitiyat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40