GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 8/30/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Kharaitiyat · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Kharaitiyat 3-1 Al-Khor

Original prediction

Al Kharaitiyat

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9247.1%44.5%-2.6 pts
Draw3.4226.4%27.9%1.4 pts
Away3.4226.4%27.6%1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Al Kharaitiyat

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Al Kharaitiyat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al KharaitiyatDLWDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-KhorLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al KharaitiyatAl-Khor
0.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power7.0
1.49xG0.93
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