Al-Gharafa Bvs
Muaither SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Second Division · 9/7/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muaither SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Gharafa B 0-1 Muaither SC
Original prediction
Muaither SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.7% | 28.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.0% | 26.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.3% | 45.7% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Muaither SC
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Muaither SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00