GGOALVIO

World · AGCFF Gulf Champions League · 10/14/2026, 2:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Duhail SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Duhail SC 3-0 Al-Shabab

Original prediction

Al-Duhail SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2571.6%46.9%-24.7 pts
Draw4.8818.3%25.6%7.3 pts
Away8.9310.0%27.5%17.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-24.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Al-Duhail SC

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Al-Duhail SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Duhail SCWWWDD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-ShababWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Duhail SCAl-Shabab
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.62xG1.38
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