Ajax Wvs
PSV/Eindhoven W
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie Women · 10/18/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajax W 1-4 PSV/Eindhoven W
Original prediction
Ajax W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 36.5% | 49.7% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 26.7% | 22.3% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 36.8% | 28.0% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Ajax W
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 4 · avg 4.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80