Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajax W 5-1 AZ W
Original prediction
AZ W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
AZ W
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
AZ W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ajax WLWLLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AZ WWWWWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ajax WAZ W
33.3Attack66.7
75.0Defence75.0
75.0Form100.0
64.5Power84.6
1.20xG1.50