Airdrie Unitedvs
Berwick Rangers
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Airdrie United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Airdrie United 7-1 Berwick Rangers
Original prediction
Airdrie United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 83.0% | 59.9% | -23.1 pts |
| Draw | 8.29 | 11.0% | 19.1% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 15.06 | 6.0% | 21.0% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Airdrie United
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Airdrie United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20