GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Persha Liga · 9/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oleksandria · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-0 Oleksandria

Original prediction

Oleksandria

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.5419.9%28.8%9.0 pts
Draw3.3526.9%28.7%1.9 pts
Away1.7053.2%42.4%-10.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.0–113%

Predicted outcome

Oleksandria

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Oleksandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ahrobiznes VolochyskLDWLW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OleksandriaWDDWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ahrobiznes VolochyskOleksandria
41.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence100.0
41.7Form83.3
51.6Power78.6
0.95xG1.13
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