Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ahal · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Ahal 3-0 Merw, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ahal 4-0 Merw
Original prediction
Ahal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Projected Score
Ahal 3–0 Merw
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ahal
Probability
91.4%
Model confidence
91.4%
Ahal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AhalLWWWW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MerwLLWLL
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
AhalMerw
58.3Attack31.3
75.0Defence12.5
68.8Form29.2
66.8Power26.7
3.52xG0.43