GGOALVIO

Turkmenistan · Ýokary Liga · 8/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Şagadam · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Şagadam are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Köpetdag Aşgabat are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Şagadam hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 30.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Ýokary Liga, while Şagadam holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Şagadam

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

15.3%

Şagadam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ŞagadamDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Köpetdag AşgabatLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ŞagadamKöpetdag Aşgabat
26.7Attack28.9
51.1Defence31.1
28.9Form24.4
38.0Power30.1
1.27xG0.77
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