Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ahal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Şagadam 0-1 Ahal, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Şagadam 2-1 Ahal
Original prediction
Ahal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Şagadam 0–1 Ahal
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ahal
Probability
72.4%
Model confidence
72.4%
Ahal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŞagadamWLDLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AhalWLWWW
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
ŞagadamAhal
29.4Attack62.7
51.0Defence76.5
31.4Form70.6
39.7Power68.9
0.49xG1.86