Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-4 (13%), 0-3 (13%), 0-5 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 21 October 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–413%
- 2.0–313%
- 3.0–511%
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
91.1%
Model confidence
91.1%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AşgabatLLDLL
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ArkadagLWWWW
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
AşgabatArkadag
40.9Attack100.0
24.2Defence83.3
22.7Form97.2
31.4Power90.7
0.64xG4.07