Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ahal · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (13%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aşgabat 3-4 Ahal
Original prediction
Ahal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–313%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Ahal
Probability
82.2%
Model confidence
82.2%
Ahal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AşgabatDLLDW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AhalWLWLW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
AşgabatAhal
36.7Attack63.2
30.0Defence75.4
25.0Form68.4
32.5Power67.9
0.60xG2.72