Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aşgabat · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aşgabat 1-0 Şagadam
Original prediction
Aşgabat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Aşgabat
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
14.2%
Aşgabat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AşgabatLLLLW
GF 11 · GA 17 · avg 2.20/3.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ŞagadamDLLLL
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AşgabatŞagadam
40.0Attack26.7
22.2Defence51.1
22.2Form28.9
29.9Power38.0
1.24xG1.22