ADO '20vs
Excelsior Maassluis
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADO '20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ADO '20 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis
Original prediction
ADO '20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.7% | 37.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.7% | 28.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.7% | 34.3% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
ADO '20
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
ADO '20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00