AD Nogueirensevs
Mortágua
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 11/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mortágua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 25 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
Mortágua
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Mortágua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AD NogueirenseDWDLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MortáguaLLDWD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AD NogueirenseMortágua
66.7Attack75.0
41.7Defence66.7
50.0Form83.3
56.2Power77.1
1.31xG1.69