Academico Viseuvs
Vitória SC
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 9/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitória SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Academico Viseu 2-1 Vitória SC
Original prediction
Vitória SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.68 | 25.6% | 33.6% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.5% | 29.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 45.9% | 37.4% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Vitória SC
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Vitória SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00