Academico Viseuvs
FC Porto
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Academico Viseu 0-3 FC Porto
Original prediction
FC Porto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.80 | 9.6% | 23.2% | 13.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.25 | 17.9% | 24.1% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 72.5% | 52.7% | -19.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
FC Porto
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40