Academico Viseuvs
Estoril
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Academico Viseu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Academico Viseu 1-0 Estoril, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Academico Viseu 2-1 Estoril
Original prediction
Academico Viseu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 41.6% | 47.6% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.9% | 27.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 30.5% | 24.8% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Projected Score
Academico Viseu 1–0 Estoril
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Academico Viseu
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Academico Viseu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40