AC Milan Wvs
Ternana W
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie A Women · 10/24/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AC Milan W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AC Milan W 3-0 Ternana W
Original prediction
AC Milan W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.1% | 39.1% | -21.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 5.08 | 17.7% | 35.9% | 18.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
AC Milan W
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
AC Milan W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60