AC Milan Wvs
Juventus W
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie A Women · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventus W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AC Milan W 2-1 Juventus W
Original prediction
Juventus W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.55 | 19.9% | 27.5% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.9% | 26.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 56.1% | 46.2% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Juventus W
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Juventus W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00