Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aarau W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Zürich W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold an 81.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
9.7%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20