Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aarau W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aarau W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Yverdon W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Aarau W hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Aarau W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aarau W
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Aarau W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40