Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aarau W 0-1 Luzern W
Original prediction
Luzern W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Aarau WLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 21 · avg 0.40/4.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Luzern WWLLDW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Aarau WLuzern W
11.1Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
8.5Power45.5
1.57xG2.25