A. Italianovs
Colo Colo
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colo Colo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
A. Italiano 0-0 Colo Colo
Original prediction
Colo Colo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.19 | 21.9% | 31.2% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.2% | 24.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.8% | 44.3% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Colo Colo
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Colo Colo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60