Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zvyahel · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Zvyahel are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while UCSA are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (WDDD), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zvyahel hold a 49.6-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 29.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Cup, while Zvyahel holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zvyahel
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Zvyahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 4.00/1.75
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/0.75