GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/18/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zvyahel · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Zvyahel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Real Pharm are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zvyahel hold a 47.3-point power-rating edge (76.0 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.4% in the Druha Liga, while Zvyahel holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zvyahel

Probability

92.4%

Model confidence

92.4%

Zvyahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZvyahelDLWWL

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Real PharmWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ZvyahelReal Pharm
80.8Attack22.2
78.2Defence34.6
75.6Form21.0
76.0Power28.7
3.91xG0.36
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