GGOALVIO

Bosnia · 1st League - FBiH · 9/26/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jedinstvo Bihać · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Zvijezda Gradačac 3-1 Jedinstvo Bihać

Original prediction

Jedinstvo Bihać

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5159.6%34.1%-25.5 pts
Draw3.7723.9%27.2%3.2 pts
Away5.4916.4%38.8%22.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

22.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–114%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Jedinstvo Bihać

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Jedinstvo Bihać has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zvijezda GradačacLDLWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Jedinstvo BihaćLDWDW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Zvijezda GradačacJedinstvo Bihać
16.7Attack77.8
72.2Defence66.7
22.2Form50.0
38.9Power61.5
0.80xG1.36
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