GGOALVIO

Bosnia · 1st League - RS · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Slavija · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Zvijezda 09 1-2 Slavija

Original prediction

Slavija

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.3226.7%31.4%4.7 pts
Draw3.3026.8%27.5%0.7 pts
Away1.9046.5%41.2%-5.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Slavija

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Slavija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zvijezda 09LLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SlavijaDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Zvijezda 09Slavija
28.6Attack28.6
14.3Defence42.9
14.3Form28.6
23.7Power36.4
1.15xG1.33
View match centre →