Zvijezda 09vs
Leotar
COMPLETEDBosnia · 1st League - RS · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leotar · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zvijezda 09 1-4 Leotar
Original prediction
Leotar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.27 | 21.1% | 17.1% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 21.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.8% | 61.9% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Leotar
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Leotar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Zvijezda 09LLLWL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LeotarWWWWD
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Zvijezda 09Leotar
26.7Attack73.3
20.0Defence86.7
20.0Form86.7
26.7Power82.3
0.76xG2.41