Zvezda St. Petersburgvs
Torpedo Vladimir
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zvezda St. Petersburg 0-0 Torpedo Vladimir, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zvezda St. Petersburg 2-3 Torpedo Vladimir
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.6% | 33.2% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.8% | 31.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.6% | 35.6% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Projected Score
Zvezda St. Petersburg 0–0 Torpedo Vladimir
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40