Second League - Group 2Second League - Group 2
Tuesday, 23 June 2026Last updated 12:42
Zvezda St. Petersburg

Zvezda St. Petersburg

Home
L
23
Full time
Spartak Moscow 2

Spartak Moscow 2

Away
W
Stadion Nova Arena
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Zvezda St. Petersburg(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Spartak Moscow 2
Win probability
Zvezda St. Petersburg
41%
Draw
28%
Spartak Moscow 2
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Zvezda St. Petersburg
73
Spartak Moscow 2
94
Defence
Zvezda St. Petersburg
6
Spartak Moscow 2
27
Momentum
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0
Spartak Moscow 2
100
Danger (xG)
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.80
Spartak Moscow 2
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Zvezda St. Petersburg)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Spartak Moscow 2)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Zvezda St. Petersburg)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Spartak Moscow 2)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Zvezda St. PetersburgZvezda St. Petersburg
L
Spartak Moscow 2Spartak Moscow 2
WW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Zvezda St. Petersburg41%
Draw28%
Spartak Moscow 231%

Zvezda St. Petersburg leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Zvezda St. Petersburg head into this in Second League - Group 2 fixture at Stadion Nova Arena in mixed form (L), while Spartak Moscow 2 arrive in mixed form (W). Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Spartak Moscow 2 over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Zvezda St. Petersburg (73/100) and Spartak Moscow 2 (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Zvezda St. Petersburg have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Spartak Moscow 2 have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Spartak Moscow 2 have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Zvezda St. Petersburg to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Zvezda St. Petersburg 4140%, Draw 2780%, Spartak Moscow 2 3080%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Zvezda St. Petersburg 0Draws 01 Spartak Moscow 2
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
23 Jun 2026
Zvezda St. Petersburg
L23
Spartak Moscow 2

Recent form

Zvezda St. Petersburg

Zvezda St. Petersburg

L
vs Spartak Moscow 2
23 Jun 2026
23
Spartak Moscow 2

Spartak Moscow 2

W
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
23 Jun 2026
32
W
@ Irkutsk
14 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moscow 2?

GoalVio's model predicts Zvezda St. Petersburg to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moscow 2?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moscow 2?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moscow 2?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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