Zvezda St. Petersburgvs
Murom
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Murom · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zvezda St. Petersburg 0-3 Murom
Original prediction
Murom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.80 | 18.7% | 18.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.6% | 24.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 58.7% | 57.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Murom
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Murom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00