GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertanovo Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Zvezda St. Petersburg are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chertanovo Moscow are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertanovo Moscow hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Second League - Group 2, while Chertanovo Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertanovo Moscow

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

12.7%

Chertanovo Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zvezda St. PetersburgDDDWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chertanovo MoscowWDDDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Zvezda St. PetersburgChertanovo Moscow
45.1Attack59.3
51.0Defence68.5
39.2Form59.3
46.8Power62.6
0.87xG1.67
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