Zurrieqvs
Victoria Hotspurs
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Victoria Hotspurs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zurrieq 1-2 Victoria Hotspurs
Original prediction
Victoria Hotspurs
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.98 | 12.9% | 26.7% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.4% | 25.6% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 66.7% | 47.8% | -19.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Victoria Hotspurs
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Victoria Hotspurs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00