Zurrieqvs
Gudja United
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zurrieq · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zurrieq 1-0 Gudja United
Original prediction
Zurrieq
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.6% | 44.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.5% | 26.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 28.9% | 28.9% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Zurrieq
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Zurrieq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60