Zulte Waregemvs
Seraing United
COMPLETEDBelgium · Cup · 10/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zulte Waregem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zulte Waregem 3-0 Seraing United
Original prediction
Zulte Waregem
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.9% | 42.9% | -23.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 19.7% | 24.9% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 6.37 | 14.4% | 32.1% | 17.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Zulte Waregem
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Zulte Waregem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20