Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Zrinjski 2-0 Velež, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zrinjski 2-0 Velež
Original prediction
Zrinjski
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 71.3% | 73.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.69 | 19.1% | 17.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 9.41 | 9.5% | 9.7% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Zrinjski 2–0 Velež
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
73.4%
Model confidence
73.4%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZrinjskiLWWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VeležWLDLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ZrinjskiVelež
71.4Attack28.6
76.2Defence42.9
85.7Form33.3
78.4Power37.7
2.49xG0.52