Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zrinjski are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Utrecht are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.4 against 47.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Zrinjski holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00