Zrinjskivs
Siroki Brijeg
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/6/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zrinjski 2-1 Siroki Brijeg
Original prediction
Zrinjski
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.7% | 59.2% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.78 | 18.9% | 23.5% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 10.79 | 8.4% | 17.3% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00