Zrinjskivs
Radnik Bijeljina
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (13%), 5-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zrinjski 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina
Original prediction
Zrinjski
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.5% | 86.5% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.45 | 16.6% | 9.3% | -7.3 pts |
| Away | 11.38 | 8.0% | 4.2% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.4–013%
- 3.5–010%
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
86.5%
Model confidence
86.5%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20