Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zrinjski are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lask Linz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zrinjski hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Zrinjski holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80