GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/10/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Zrinjski are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Breidablik are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zrinjski hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Zrinjski holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zrinjski

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZrinjskiDLLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BreidablikLLDLW

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ZrinjskiBreidablik
66.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence0.0
33.3Form50.0
48.4Power37.5
2.00xG1.31
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