Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Zürich W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Thun W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 63.9-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00