Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Zürich W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Thun W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 63.9-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60