GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 9/30/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Zürich W are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 2.75 scored and 0.50 conceded, while St. Gallen W are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold an 81.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zürich W

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zürich WWWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.75/0.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
St. Gallen WWDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Zürich WSt. Gallen W
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power15.3
2.47xG1.23
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