Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Zürich W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Luzern W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00