Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zürich W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Basel W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60