Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Zürich W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aarau W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold an 83.8-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20