Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Zürich II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lugano II are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich II hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the 1. Liga Promotion, while Zürich II holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich II
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Zürich II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00